Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-0100:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

3-10

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	12	1
Orioles	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	0	X	10	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.2

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +29pp

Last 20 85% · Season 90% · -5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+10pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+8pp

7–9 Late

55%

+1pp

F5 first five

66%

+12pp

F9 full game

60%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 179

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 130Runs Allowed 143

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#243% 13/30	23% 7/30	#333% 10/30	17% 5/30	#147% 14/30	20% 6/30	30% 9/30	33% 10/30	23% 5/22	100% 2/2
Astros	RA	#147% 14/30	33% 10/30	33% 10/30	30% 9/30	#247% 14/30	20% 6/30	33% 10/30	30% 9/30	#338% 8/21	100% 2/2
Orioles	R	17% 5/29	24% 7/29	24% 7/29	#331% 9/29	#138% 11/29	28% 8/29	#238% 11/29	28% 8/29	29% 6/21	50% 2/4
Orioles	RA	17% 5/29	#234% 10/29	21% 6/29	#334% 10/29	#148% 14/29	28% 8/29	24% 7/29	28% 8/29	29% 7/24	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.