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Final
2026-04-3007:10Citi Field
14-2
Mets
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Nationals20070130114150
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 68% · Season 69% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
09192838301319242101632127415205132861917718168131298610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 179

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
07142128181511512231831344156581865127142283996610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 100Runs Allowed 122
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#143% 13/3020% 6/3027% 8/30#333% 10/3023% 7/30#237% 11/3027% 8/3023% 7/3022% 6/2750% 4/8
RA27% 8/3027% 8/3033% 10/30#143% 13/30#337% 11/3027% 8/3037% 11/3030% 9/30#238% 9/2462% 5/8
MetsR#138% 11/29#231% 9/293% 1/2917% 5/29#328% 8/2917% 5/2910% 3/2928% 8/298% 2/2557% 4/7
RA#231% 9/2921% 6/29#331% 9/2914% 4/2914% 4/29#145% 13/2921% 6/2928% 8/2923% 5/2271% 5/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.