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Final
2026-04-2909:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
8-3
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs020002400880
Padres010101000361

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.8
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.9
Cubs scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 6%
Padres scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
69%
+15pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
0102030409121192023212391641511522196161671715815592110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 127

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
081624326101920216163111041911513136161471119825396210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 132Runs Allowed 118
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR14% 4/2934% 10/29#148% 14/2924% 7/2931% 9/2931% 9/2934% 10/29#338% 11/29#248% 10/2150% 2/4
RA21% 6/29#134% 10/2924% 7/2921% 6/2921% 6/29#331% 9/2928% 8/29#234% 10/2918% 4/2225% 1/4
PadresR14% 4/2818% 5/2829% 8/2825% 7/28#239% 11/28#332% 9/2832% 9/2825% 7/28#148% 10/21100% 3/3
RA14% 4/28#129% 8/28#229% 8/2821% 6/2821% 6/2825% 7/2825% 7/28#329% 8/289% 2/2367% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.