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Final
2026-04-2907:10Citi Field
0-8
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 68% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
52%
-2pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
09192838301219242101632120415205132861917718168131298610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 171

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
0714212817151151223183644156581865127142283996610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 92Runs Allowed 122
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#145% 13/2921% 6/2928% 8/29#334% 10/2924% 7/29#238% 11/2928% 8/2924% 7/2923% 6/2650% 4/8
RA24% 7/2928% 8/2934% 10/29#141% 12/29#238% 11/2928% 8/29#338% 11/2931% 9/2938% 9/2462% 5/8
MetsR#136% 10/28#232% 9/284% 1/2814% 4/28#329% 8/2818% 5/2811% 3/2829% 8/288% 2/2557% 4/7
RA#232% 9/2821% 6/28#332% 9/2814% 4/2814% 4/28#146% 13/2821% 6/2829% 8/2824% 5/2171% 5/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.