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Final
2026-04-2809:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
7-9
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs014000002780
Padres30102021X9140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.9
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 0%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 62% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
68%
+14pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
0817263599118202281139164159522196161471714813592110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 149Runs Allowed 118

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
081624323101919215123111041711513136141471019825196210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 123Runs Allowed 111
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR14% 4/2832% 9/28#146% 13/2825% 7/2832% 9/2832% 9/2836% 10/28#339% 11/28#245% 9/2050% 2/4
RA18% 5/28#136% 10/2821% 6/2821% 6/2818% 5/28#232% 9/2825% 7/28#332% 9/2818% 4/2225% 1/4
PadresR11% 3/2719% 5/2726% 7/2726% 7/27#237% 10/27#333% 9/2730% 8/2722% 6/27#148% 10/21100% 3/3
RA15% 4/27#226% 7/27#326% 7/2722% 6/2722% 6/2726% 7/2726% 7/27#130% 8/275% 1/2267% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.