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Final
2026-04-2207:40Wrigley Field
4-7
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
20%R 20% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
48%R 45% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 66% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-8pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
061320271913171128213274151458186677313861292210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 76Runs Allowed 118

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
07142128861151722263784119519126101071311811391110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 83
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#136% 8/22#323% 5/2218% 4/229% 2/22#232% 7/2214% 3/2214% 3/2214% 3/2217% 3/18100% 2/2
RA27% 6/2223% 5/22#150% 11/2218% 4/2227% 6/22#241% 9/2218% 4/2227% 6/22#328% 5/1850% 1/2
CubsR14% 3/2227% 6/22#245% 10/2223% 5/2227% 6/2232% 7/22#336% 8/2232% 7/22#150% 8/1633% 1/3
RA18% 4/22#136% 8/2218% 4/2214% 3/2223% 5/22#327% 6/2223% 5/22#232% 7/2211% 2/1833% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.