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Final
2026-04-1802:20Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
4-12
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Mets0300000104142
Cubs42010032X12140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 33%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
11%
Own scoring 0%
Opponent allowing 22%
Cubs scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 22%
Cubs scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
30%R 26% · RA 33%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
35%R 33% · RA 37%
Sample 18Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 65% · Season 65% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-6pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
47%
-5pp
F9 full game
49%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0510152013101782 1634 4135589655761683596510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 65Runs Allowed 79

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0613202746181322163674118516126710711981039 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 94Runs Allowed 75
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#142% 8/19#326% 5/190% 0/1911% 2/19#232% 6/1926% 5/1916% 3/1916% 3/1911% 2/1867% 4/6
RA#237% 7/1916% 3/19#142% 8/190% 0/1916% 3/19#337% 7/1911% 2/1932% 6/1914% 2/1467% 4/6
CubsR11% 2/1817% 3/18#150% 9/1822% 4/1833% 6/1833% 6/18#339% 7/1833% 6/18#247% 7/150% 0/2
RA22% 4/18#133% 6/1822% 4/1811% 2/1822% 4/18#233% 6/18#328% 5/1828% 5/1814% 2/1450% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.