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Final
2026-04-1708:40Petco Park
2-5
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 22%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 6%
Padres scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 17%
Padres scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
32%R 42% · RA 22%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
35%R 39% · RA 32%
Sample 18Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 67% · Season 67% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
51%
+0pp
7–9 Late
41%
-11pp
F5 first five
49%
-3pp
F9 full game
46%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
05111622128196247310341713551165473485796610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 76Runs Allowed 69

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
051015202912421312395412851186757713816196210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 85Runs Allowed 67
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#237% 7/19#337% 7/1911% 2/1921% 4/19#142% 8/1916% 3/1911% 2/1911% 2/1936% 5/1475% 3/4
RA#137% 7/1911% 2/1916% 3/1911% 2/19#232% 6/19#326% 5/1916% 3/1911% 2/1921% 3/14100% 4/4
PadresR11% 2/1811% 2/1833% 6/1828% 5/18#239% 7/18#339% 7/1822% 4/1822% 4/18#146% 6/13100% 3/3
RA17% 3/1817% 3/18#139% 7/1817% 3/18#322% 4/1817% 3/1817% 3/18#228% 5/186% 1/1667% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.