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Final
2026-04-1609:40Petco Park
6-7
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 18%
Padres scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 18%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 12%
Opponent allowing 39%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp
#3
Inn.3
Mariners scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 11%
Opponent allowing 41%
Padres scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 17%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
28%R 39% · RA 18%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
37%R 41% · RA 33%
Sample 17Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 66% · Season 66% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-3pp
7–9 Late
41%
-10pp
F5 first five
48%
-4pp
F9 full game
45%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
04914191281762473834151355965473485296610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 70Runs Allowed 62

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
0481217291222131239341265986757713811196210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 78Runs Allowed 61
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#139% 7/1833% 6/1811% 2/1817% 3/18#239% 7/1817% 3/1811% 2/1811% 2/18#338% 5/1375% 3/4
RA#139% 7/1811% 2/1817% 3/1811% 2/18#233% 6/18#322% 4/1817% 3/1811% 2/1815% 2/13100% 4/4
PadresR12% 2/1712% 2/17#335% 6/1729% 5/17#241% 7/1735% 6/1724% 4/1724% 4/17#142% 5/12100% 3/3
RA#318% 3/1712% 2/17#141% 7/1712% 2/1718% 3/1718% 3/1718% 3/17#229% 5/177% 1/1567% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.