Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-03-3106:10Clover Park

Astros

Away

5-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	9	2
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 33%

Mets scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 11%

Mets scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 67%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.4

Astros scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 22%

Mets scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mets defense

37%R 40% · RA 33%

Mets offense × Astros defense

37%R 44% · RA 30%

Sample 9Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 74% · Season 74% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-10pp

7–9 Late

39%

-21pp

F5 first five

58%

-5pp

F9 full game

49%

-13pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

10 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 37Runs Allowed 36

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

9 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 43Runs Allowed 21

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	10% 1/10	#330% 3/10	#240% 4/10	#150% 5/10	30% 3/10	20% 2/10	0% 0/10	20% 2/10	0% 0/7	-
Astros	RA	#130% 3/10	10% 1/10	#230% 3/10	#330% 3/10	30% 3/10	20% 2/10	10% 1/10	20% 2/10	29% 2/7	-
Mets	R	22% 2/9	33% 3/9	#244% 4/9	22% 2/9	#167% 6/9	22% 2/9	#344% 4/9	22% 2/9	0% 0/5	-
Mets	RA	#233% 3/9	0% 0/9	#333% 3/9	22% 2/9	11% 1/9	0% 0/9	33% 3/9	11% 1/9	#143% 3/7	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.