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Final
2022-10-0604:10Citi Field
2-9
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000020000280
Mets33300000X9110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
48%R 35% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+3pp
7–9 Late
46%
-5pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
0367210814577112156902581133631164701115831036538377358858449101610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 601Runs Allowed 846

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
030619212395811766329851391744855859882667717776985949917610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 763Runs Allowed 604
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#328% 45/16120% 33/16120% 32/16122% 36/16124% 39/161#133% 53/16022% 35/158#229% 46/15822% 30/13454% 7/13
RA#135% 57/16128% 45/16132% 52/161#235% 57/16132% 52/160#334% 55/16028% 44/15820% 31/15823% 26/11469% 9/13
MetsR#233% 53/16124% 39/161#134% 54/16129% 47/16127% 44/161#333% 53/16125% 40/16124% 39/16128% 32/11577% 10/13
RA23% 37/16120% 33/16120% 32/161#126% 42/16119% 31/161#225% 41/161#325% 41/16124% 39/16122% 29/13038% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.