Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-10-0506:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

2-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1X	3	6	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

30%

-23pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

43%

-9pp

F9 full game

44%

-9pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 640Runs Allowed 726

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 643Runs Allowed 798

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#132% 51/160	#329% 46/160	21% 33/160	26% 41/160	#230% 48/160	19% 30/159	28% 44/159	24% 38/159	15% 19/124	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	24% 38/160	21% 33/160	#131% 49/160	25% 40/160	#329% 46/160	29% 46/160	#230% 47/159	28% 44/159	24% 30/123	63% 19/30
Reds	R	24% 38/160	20% 32/160	24% 39/160	18% 29/160	#129% 47/160	26% 42/160	18% 29/160	#228% 44/159	#328% 37/134	53% 9/17
Reds	RA	24% 39/160	24% 39/160	#135% 56/160	#235% 56/160	27% 43/160	25% 40/160	30% 48/160	#333% 52/159	30% 34/113	53% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.