Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-10-0406:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

1-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1
Reds	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	X	3	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

35%

-18pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

44%

-8pp

F9 full game

45%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 639Runs Allowed 723

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 640Runs Allowed 797

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#132% 51/159	#329% 46/159	21% 33/159	26% 41/159	#230% 48/159	19% 30/158	28% 44/158	24% 38/158	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	24% 38/159	21% 33/159	#130% 48/159	25% 40/159	#329% 46/159	29% 46/159	#230% 47/158	27% 43/158	24% 30/123	63% 19/30
Reds	R	24% 38/159	20% 32/159	24% 38/159	18% 29/159	#130% 47/159	26% 42/159	18% 29/159	#327% 43/158	#228% 37/134	53% 9/17
Reds	RA	25% 39/159	25% 39/159	#135% 56/159	#235% 56/159	27% 43/159	25% 40/159	30% 48/159	#333% 52/158	29% 33/112	53% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.