Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-10-0302:20Wrigley Field

Reds

Away

1-8

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7	0
Cubs	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	X	8	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.2

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Cubs offense × Reds defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 65% · Season 55% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

36%

-18pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

45%

-7pp

F9 full game

44%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 639Runs Allowed 789

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 631Runs Allowed 722

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	24% 38/158	20% 32/158	24% 38/158	18% 29/158	#130% 47/158	27% 42/158	18% 28/158	#327% 43/157	#228% 37/133	53% 9/17
Reds	RA	24% 38/158	25% 39/158	#135% 56/158	#235% 55/158	27% 43/158	25% 40/158	30% 47/158	#333% 52/157	29% 33/112	53% 9/17
Cubs	R	#132% 50/158	#329% 46/158	21% 33/158	25% 40/158	#230% 48/158	19% 30/157	27% 43/157	24% 38/157	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	24% 38/158	21% 33/158	#130% 48/158	25% 40/158	#329% 46/158	29% 46/158	#229% 46/157	27% 43/157	25% 30/122	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.