Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-10-0202:20Wrigley Field

Reds

Away

1-2

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
Cubs	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	X	2	3	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.2

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Cubs offense × Reds defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 60% · Season 55% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

38%

-16pp

7–9 Late

48%

-3pp

F5 first five

46%

-6pp

F9 full game

45%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 787

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 629Runs Allowed 721

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	24% 38/157	20% 32/157	24% 37/157	18% 29/157	#130% 47/157	27% 42/157	18% 28/157	#328% 43/156	#228% 37/132	53% 9/17
Reds	RA	24% 38/157	24% 38/157	#136% 56/157	#235% 55/157	27% 43/157	25% 40/157	29% 46/157	#333% 52/156	29% 33/112	53% 9/17
Cubs	R	#132% 50/157	#329% 45/157	21% 33/157	25% 40/157	#231% 48/157	19% 30/156	27% 42/156	24% 38/156	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	24% 38/157	21% 33/157	#130% 47/157	25% 40/157	#329% 46/157	29% 46/157	#229% 46/156	28% 43/156	25% 30/121	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.