Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-3002:20Wrigley Field

Phillies

Away

0-2

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0
Cubs	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	X	2	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Phillies defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

45%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-0pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

49%

-4pp

F9 full game

52%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 717Runs Allowed 653

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 621Runs Allowed 720

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	25% 39/154	24% 37/154	#231% 47/154	#330% 46/154	24% 37/153	#132% 49/153	27% 41/153	26% 40/153	25% 29/114	81% 13/16
Phillies	RA	22% 34/154	20% 31/154	24% 37/154	#329% 45/154	#132% 50/154	29% 44/153	25% 39/153	24% 36/153	#231% 38/121	62% 10/16
Cubs	R	#132% 49/155	#328% 44/155	21% 32/155	26% 40/155	#230% 47/155	19% 30/154	27% 42/154	25% 38/154	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	25% 38/155	21% 32/155	#130% 47/155	26% 40/155	#330% 46/155	30% 46/155	#230% 46/154	28% 43/154	25% 30/119	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.