Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2907:40Wrigley Field

Phillies

Away

2-4

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	11	1
Cubs	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	X	4	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Cubs offense × Phillies defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+0pp

7–9 Late

59%

+8pp

F5 first five

49%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 715Runs Allowed 649

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 617Runs Allowed 718

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	25% 39/153	24% 37/153	#230% 46/153	#330% 46/153	24% 37/152	#132% 49/152	26% 40/152	26% 40/152	26% 29/113	81% 13/16
Phillies	RA	22% 34/153	20% 31/153	24% 37/153	#329% 45/153	#132% 49/153	29% 44/152	26% 39/152	24% 36/152	#231% 38/121	62% 10/16
Cubs	R	#132% 49/154	#329% 44/154	21% 32/154	26% 40/154	#230% 46/154	20% 30/153	27% 42/153	25% 38/153	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	25% 38/154	21% 32/154	#130% 46/154	26% 40/154	#230% 46/154	#330% 46/154	29% 45/153	28% 43/153	25% 30/118	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.