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Final
2022-09-2907:10Citi Field
4-5
Mets
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Marlins0002011000470
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +22pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 73% · Season 54% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games
0285684112447315346252703788547589570696806573174851609192010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 553Runs Allowed 651

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
030619112287801726129548390714845459778665687746985949916610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 739Runs Allowed 584
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR18% 28/15419% 29/15421% 33/154#128% 43/154#227% 42/154#326% 40/15425% 39/15416% 25/15423% 29/12762% 10/16
RA28% 43/15416% 25/154#329% 44/15425% 39/154#131% 47/15425% 39/15422% 34/154#229% 45/15428% 34/12081% 13/16
MetsR#333% 51/15523% 36/155#134% 52/15530% 46/15528% 43/155#234% 52/15525% 39/15524% 37/15529% 32/11175% 9/12
RA23% 36/15521% 32/15520% 31/155#126% 40/15519% 29/15524% 37/155#225% 39/155#325% 39/15523% 29/12742% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.