Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2900:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

3-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	7	0
Pirates	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1X	4	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 33%

Pirates scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 36%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

31%R 28% · RA 33%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

37%R 38% · RA 36%

Sample 14Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 67% · Season 54% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

46%

-8pp

7–9 Late

62%

+11pp

F5 first five

46%

-6pp

F9 full game

52%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 634Runs Allowed 777

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 561Runs Allowed 781

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	25% 38/155	20% 31/155	24% 37/155	19% 29/155	#130% 47/155	27% 42/155	18% 28/155	#228% 43/154	#328% 36/130	56% 9/16
Reds	RA	24% 37/155	23% 36/155	#135% 55/155	#235% 55/155	28% 43/155	26% 40/155	30% 46/155	#334% 52/154	30% 33/111	50% 8/16
Pirates	R	18% 28/155	19% 30/155	#128% 43/155	22% 34/155	#227% 42/155	#326% 41/155	26% 40/155	21% 33/155	24% 32/131	50% 6/12
Pirates	RA	#330% 47/155	30% 46/155	21% 32/155	28% 43/155	#132% 49/155	26% 40/155	27% 42/155	#231% 48/155	26% 29/112	83% 10/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.