Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2807:40Wrigley Field

Phillies

Away

1-2

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	0
Cubs	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	X	2	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Phillies defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 65% · Season 52% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 714Runs Allowed 647

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 615Runs Allowed 717

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	26% 39/152	24% 37/152	#230% 46/152	#330% 46/152	25% 37/151	#132% 48/151	26% 40/151	26% 40/151	26% 29/112	81% 13/16
Phillies	RA	22% 34/152	20% 31/152	24% 36/152	#330% 45/152	#132% 49/152	29% 44/151	25% 38/151	24% 36/151	#231% 38/121	62% 10/16
Cubs	R	#132% 49/153	#329% 44/153	20% 31/153	26% 40/153	#230% 46/153	20% 30/152	27% 41/152	25% 38/152	15% 18/123	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	25% 38/153	21% 32/153	#130% 46/153	26% 40/153	#230% 46/153	29% 45/153	#330% 45/152	28% 43/152	26% 30/117	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.