Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2806:10Progressive Field

Rays

Away

6-5

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	7	0
Guardians	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	14	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.7

Rays scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Guardians defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Guardians offense × Rays defense

28%R 35% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 57% · Season 52% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-5pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 643Runs Allowed 581

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 659Runs Allowed 601

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#328% 43/153	27% 41/153	#129% 44/153	22% 34/153	25% 38/153	27% 41/153	#228% 43/152	26% 40/152	14% 15/107	65% 17/26
Rays	RA	#225% 38/153	22% 33/153	21% 32/153	24% 36/153	22% 33/153	24% 36/152	22% 34/152	#126% 40/152	#325% 30/121	73% 19/26
Guardians	R	#230% 46/153	25% 39/153	26% 40/153	#328% 43/153	24% 37/153	20% 30/153	#131% 48/153	25% 39/153	23% 27/119	59% 16/27
Guardians	RA	22% 34/153	25% 38/153	#229% 44/153	#327% 41/153	27% 41/153	27% 41/153	#130% 46/153	22% 33/153	20% 25/124	44% 12/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.