Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2601:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

6-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	6	9	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 50%

Orioles scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Astros scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 33%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 22%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

48%R 45% · RA 50%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

20%R 25% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-5pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

52%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 698Runs Allowed 494

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 632Runs Allowed 629

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 54/153	24% 37/153	27% 41/153	#331% 47/153	#235% 53/153	25% 39/153	24% 37/153	25% 38/153	19% 21/110	67% 8/12
Astros	RA	22% 34/153	20% 30/153	#124% 37/153	18% 28/153	18% 27/153	22% 34/153	#224% 37/153	20% 30/153	#323% 29/128	58% 7/12
Orioles	R	21% 31/151	23% 34/151	#130% 46/151	23% 34/151	28% 42/151	25% 38/151	24% 36/150	#229% 44/150	#328% 33/116	60% 12/20
Orioles	RA	30% 45/151	21% 32/151	#132% 49/151	21% 32/151	#231% 47/151	#331% 47/151	25% 38/150	21% 31/150	24% 28/115	35% 7/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.