Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2407:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

0-6

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1
Orioles	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

22%R 30% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

44%

-9pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 687Runs Allowed 478

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 616Runs Allowed 618

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#136% 54/151	25% 37/151	26% 40/151	#331% 47/151	#234% 52/151	26% 39/151	25% 37/151	25% 37/151	19% 20/108	67% 8/12
Astros	RA	#323% 34/151	20% 30/151	#125% 37/151	17% 26/151	17% 26/151	22% 33/151	#224% 36/151	19% 29/151	22% 28/127	58% 7/12
Orioles	R	21% 31/149	23% 34/149	#131% 46/149	21% 32/149	28% 41/149	25% 37/149	24% 35/148	#229% 43/148	#328% 32/115	60% 12/20
Orioles	RA	30% 45/149	21% 32/149	#132% 48/149	21% 32/149	#331% 46/149	#232% 47/149	26% 38/148	20% 30/148	24% 27/113	35% 7/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.