Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2307:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

0-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1
Orioles	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	2	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-7pp

7–9 Late

46%

-6pp

F5 first five

53%

+1pp

F9 full game

50%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 687Runs Allowed 476

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 614Runs Allowed 618

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#136% 54/150	25% 37/150	27% 40/150	#331% 47/150	#235% 52/150	26% 39/150	25% 37/150	25% 37/150	19% 20/107	67% 8/12
Astros	RA	#323% 34/150	19% 29/150	#125% 37/150	17% 26/150	17% 26/150	22% 33/150	#224% 36/150	19% 29/150	22% 28/127	58% 7/12
Orioles	R	21% 31/148	22% 33/148	#131% 46/148	22% 32/148	28% 41/148	25% 37/148	24% 35/147	#229% 43/147	#328% 32/115	60% 12/20
Orioles	RA	30% 45/148	22% 32/148	#132% 48/148	22% 32/148	#331% 46/148	#232% 47/148	26% 38/147	20% 30/147	24% 27/112	35% 7/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.