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Final
2022-09-2306:40Tropicana Field
5-10
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays120000002580
Rays33030100X10120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
41%
-13pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
48%
-4pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
03264961297465177592103993686948883588646825677168842509141910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 707Runs Allowed 632

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0255075100797016755276663506046352566656805677568833409322810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 621Runs Allowed 560
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#332% 47/14930% 44/149#134% 51/14926% 39/14929% 43/14931% 46/149#234% 50/14923% 35/14925% 28/11161% 11/18
RA28% 41/14924% 36/149#134% 51/14928% 41/149#228% 42/149#328% 42/14926% 38/14927% 40/14924% 30/12356% 10/18
RaysR#328% 41/14927% 40/149#229% 43/14921% 32/14925% 37/14927% 40/149#129% 43/14826% 38/14814% 15/10565% 17/26
RA#225% 37/14921% 31/14921% 31/149#324% 36/14921% 31/14924% 35/14822% 33/148#126% 39/14824% 28/11773% 19/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.