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Final
2022-09-2206:40Great American Ball Park
1-5
Reds
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp
#2
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Reds defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Reds offense × Red Sox defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +29pp
Last 20 82% · Season 61% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games
0346910413972851825727111138251480102575756535178489851569232810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 673Runs Allowed 705

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games
0336699132707315469282103354105478605777565173779100857699151610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 617Runs Allowed 743
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR27% 40/147#231% 45/14730% 44/147#131% 46/147#331% 45/14731% 45/14722% 32/14727% 40/14724% 27/11457% 12/21
RA#332% 47/14718% 27/147#133% 48/14716% 24/147#233% 48/14724% 35/14722% 33/14729% 43/14731% 36/11771% 15/21
RedsR23% 34/14821% 31/14824% 35/14819% 28/148#131% 46/148#328% 41/14818% 27/14827% 40/147#228% 35/12556% 9/16
RA25% 37/14822% 33/148#136% 54/148#236% 53/14827% 40/14826% 39/14828% 42/148#334% 50/14730% 32/10650% 8/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.