Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2106:40Tropicana Field

Astros

Away

5-0

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	1	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	8	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Rays defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Rays offense × Astros defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 62% · Season 50% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

39%

-15pp

7–9 Late

44%

-7pp

F5 first five

46%

-6pp

F9 full game

46%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 677Runs Allowed 474

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 619Runs Allowed 550

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 52/148	25% 37/148	26% 39/148	#332% 47/148	#234% 51/148	26% 39/148	25% 37/148	24% 36/148	18% 19/105	67% 8/12
Astros	RA	#323% 34/148	20% 29/148	#125% 37/148	18% 26/148	18% 26/148	22% 32/148	#224% 35/148	20% 29/148	22% 28/125	58% 7/12
Rays	R	#328% 41/147	27% 40/147	#129% 43/147	22% 32/147	25% 37/147	27% 39/147	#229% 42/146	26% 38/146	15% 15/103	65% 17/26
Rays	RA	24% 35/147	21% 31/147	20% 30/147	#224% 36/147	20% 30/147	#324% 35/146	23% 33/146	#126% 38/146	23% 27/115	73% 19/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.