Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-2006:40Tropicana Field

Astros

Away

4-0

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	6	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Rays defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Rays offense × Astros defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 51% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-12pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

49%

-3pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 673Runs Allowed 474

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 619Runs Allowed 546

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 51/147	25% 37/147	27% 39/147	#332% 47/147	#235% 51/147	26% 38/147	25% 37/147	24% 36/147	18% 19/104	67% 8/12
Astros	RA	#323% 34/147	20% 29/147	#125% 37/147	18% 26/147	18% 26/147	22% 32/147	#224% 35/147	20% 29/147	23% 28/124	58% 7/12
Rays	R	#328% 41/146	27% 40/146	#129% 43/146	22% 32/146	25% 37/146	27% 39/146	#229% 42/145	26% 38/145	15% 15/102	65% 17/26
Rays	RA	23% 34/146	21% 31/146	21% 30/146	#225% 36/146	21% 30/146	23% 34/145	23% 33/145	#126% 38/145	#324% 27/114	73% 19/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.