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Final
2022-09-1807:20Truist Park
3-4
Braves
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Phillies000010110390
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 38%
Braves scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Braves defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Braves offense × Phillies defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 80% · Season 56% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+15pp
7–9 Late
52%
+1pp
F5 first five
57%
+5pp
F9 full game
55%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games
0295887117725717452293553818046691585736666077852843659161710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 674Runs Allowed 602

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games
0285684113665617365288663804449068579716844377757854559212310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 712Runs Allowed 548
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR26% 38/14424% 35/144#231% 45/144#331% 44/14423% 33/143#132% 46/14327% 38/14326% 37/14325% 27/10685% 11/13
RA22% 32/14419% 28/14422% 32/14429% 42/144#133% 48/144#329% 42/14324% 35/14322% 32/143#232% 37/11569% 9/13
BravesR26% 37/14424% 34/14431% 44/144#232% 46/144#133% 48/14428% 41/14428% 40/14424% 35/144#332% 33/10465% 13/20
RA23% 33/14424% 35/14422% 31/14420% 29/144#229% 42/144#133% 47/14418% 26/14423% 33/144#327% 32/11970% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.