Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-1400:35Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

6-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	1	6	12	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.3

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 23%

Reds scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 24%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 57% · Season 59% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-1pp

7–9 Late

51%

-0pp

F5 first five

50%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 498Runs Allowed 709

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 597Runs Allowed 707

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	19% 26/140	20% 28/140	#127% 38/140	22% 31/140	#227% 38/140	#326% 36/140	24% 33/140	21% 29/140	24% 28/119	50% 6/12
Pirates	RA	#230% 42/140	#329% 41/140	21% 29/140	29% 41/140	#132% 45/140	25% 35/140	28% 39/140	29% 41/140	25% 26/102	83% 10/12
Reds	R	24% 34/139	21% 29/139	22% 31/139	20% 28/139	#132% 44/139	27% 38/139	18% 25/139	#328% 39/138	#228% 33/116	64% 9/14
Reds	RA	27% 37/139	23% 32/139	#335% 48/139	#137% 51/139	27% 38/139	27% 37/139	28% 39/139	#236% 49/138	28% 28/99	50% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.