Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-1307:10Citi Field

Cubs

Away

5-2

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	7	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.7

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Cubs defense

28%R 10% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 65% · Season 50% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-3pp

7–9 Late

54%

+2pp

F5 first five

49%

-3pp

F9 full game

52%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 568Runs Allowed 673

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 666Runs Allowed 526

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#134% 47/140	#329% 40/140	20% 28/140	27% 38/140	#230% 42/140	20% 28/139	26% 36/139	24% 34/139	16% 18/111	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	25% 35/140	21% 29/140	#330% 42/140	27% 38/140	#131% 43/140	#231% 43/140	29% 41/139	29% 41/139	25% 26/106	63% 19/30
Mets	R	#134% 48/141	22% 31/141	#234% 48/141	28% 40/141	29% 41/141	#334% 48/141	26% 36/141	21% 30/141	29% 29/101	75% 9/12
Mets	RA	23% 33/141	20% 28/141	20% 28/141	#126% 37/141	18% 25/141	#324% 34/141	24% 34/141	#225% 35/141	23% 27/115	42% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.