Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-1109:10T-Mobile Park

Braves

Away

1-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	X	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 26%

Mariners scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 37%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mariners defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Mariners offense × Braves defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-1pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 689Runs Allowed 527

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 578Runs Allowed 515

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	27% 37/138	24% 33/138	30% 42/138	#232% 44/138	#135% 48/138	30% 41/138	28% 39/138	23% 32/138	#331% 31/99	65% 13/20
Braves	RA	22% 31/138	24% 33/138	22% 31/138	19% 26/138	#228% 38/138	#132% 44/138	18% 25/138	24% 33/138	#327% 31/116	70% 14/20
Mariners	R	#231% 43/138	21% 29/138	28% 38/138	27% 37/138	26% 36/138	25% 34/138	#330% 42/138	20% 27/138	#132% 35/110	50% 11/22
Mariners	RA	#328% 38/138	22% 31/138	25% 35/138	25% 34/138	24% 33/138	#228% 39/138	#130% 42/138	20% 28/138	23% 25/111	27% 6/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.