Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-0902:20Wrigley Field

Reds

Away

4-3

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	0
Cubs	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Cubs offense × Reds defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+1pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

49%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 575Runs Allowed 684

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 557Runs Allowed 658

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	25% 33/134	21% 28/134	22% 30/134	20% 27/134	#133% 44/134	#328% 37/134	17% 23/134	#229% 38/133	27% 30/111	64% 9/14
Reds	RA	25% 34/134	23% 31/134	#335% 47/134	#137% 50/134	27% 36/134	27% 36/134	28% 38/134	#235% 47/133	29% 28/96	50% 7/14
Cubs	R	#134% 46/136	#328% 38/136	21% 28/136	28% 38/136	#229% 40/136	19% 26/135	27% 36/135	24% 32/135	17% 18/108	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	26% 35/136	21% 28/136	#331% 42/136	27% 37/136	#132% 43/136	#232% 43/136	29% 39/135	27% 37/135	25% 25/102	63% 19/30

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.