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Final
2022-09-0706:40Tropicana Field
4-8
Rays
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Red Sox020000020460
Rays30200210X8130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
03264961296681177562641033775147493570636535077686842539212510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 620Runs Allowed 661

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
023466992735715744266573475746151558586734977356826389322810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 566Runs Allowed 495
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR27% 37/136#331% 42/13629% 40/136#132% 44/13630% 41/136#232% 43/13624% 32/13626% 35/13623% 24/10555% 11/20
RA#133% 45/13619% 26/136#232% 43/13618% 24/136#332% 43/13621% 29/13624% 32/13629% 40/13631% 34/10970% 14/20
RaysR#328% 37/13326% 35/13328% 37/13323% 31/13326% 35/13326% 34/133#128% 37/132#228% 37/13214% 13/9365% 17/26
RA23% 31/13320% 27/13321% 28/133#225% 33/13323% 30/13323% 31/13223% 30/132#125% 33/132#325% 26/10673% 19/26

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.