Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-0502:40Progressive Field

Mariners

Away

6-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Mariners	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	9	1
Guardians	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3	9	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mariners scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.5

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.7

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Guardians defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Guardians offense × Mariners defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-5pp

7–9 Late

42%

-9pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

47%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 557Runs Allowed 494

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 544Runs Allowed 523

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#232% 42/133	20% 27/133	27% 36/133	26% 35/133	26% 35/133	25% 33/133	#330% 40/133	20% 26/133	#132% 34/106	50% 10/20
Mariners	RA	#327% 36/133	23% 30/133	26% 34/133	24% 32/133	24% 32/133	#228% 37/133	#131% 41/133	20% 26/133	23% 24/106	30% 6/20
Guardians	R	#129% 38/131	24% 32/131	25% 33/131	#228% 37/131	24% 31/131	18% 24/131	#328% 37/131	24% 32/131	24% 25/103	69% 11/16
Guardians	RA	24% 32/131	27% 35/131	#229% 38/131	25% 33/131	26% 34/131	#327% 36/131	#134% 44/131	21% 27/131	20% 20/102	44% 7/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.