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Final
2022-09-0501:40Citi Field
7-1
Mets
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Nationals1040200007110
Mets010000000161

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 62% · Season 65% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
0326496129679414775244103354854599857585637727615284934991610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 502Runs Allowed 714

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
027558211080641545428537361644754558872654577585485445916610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 625Runs Allowed 498
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#327% 36/13321% 28/13317% 23/13323% 30/13324% 32/133#136% 48/13221% 27/131#231% 40/13123% 25/11050% 6/12
RA#335% 46/13326% 35/133#135% 47/13330% 40/133#235% 46/13233% 44/13228% 37/13119% 25/13123% 22/9775% 9/12
MetsR#135% 47/13421% 28/134#334% 45/13427% 36/13429% 39/134#235% 47/13425% 33/13422% 29/13430% 28/9475% 9/12
RA22% 30/13420% 27/13419% 26/134#126% 35/13416% 22/134#225% 33/134#325% 33/13423% 31/13425% 27/11042% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.