Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-09-0407:15Busch Stadium

Cubs

Away

4-8

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	10	0
Cardinals	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	X	8	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 15%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-0pp

7–9 Late

57%

+6pp

F5 first five

45%

-7pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 543Runs Allowed 638

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 652Runs Allowed 520

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#133% 44/132	28% 37/132	21% 28/132	#229% 38/132	#329% 38/132	19% 25/131	27% 35/131	24% 31/131	17% 18/105	47% 14/30
Cubs	RA	25% 33/132	21% 28/132	30% 39/132	27% 36/132	#133% 43/132	#232% 42/132	#330% 39/131	27% 36/131	24% 24/100	63% 19/30
Cardinals	R	#234% 45/132	24% 32/132	25% 33/132	#328% 37/132	27% 35/132	#135% 46/132	27% 35/132	28% 37/132	27% 26/95	67% 10/15
Cardinals	RA	#227% 35/132	23% 31/132	23% 31/132	22% 29/132	24% 32/132	#325% 33/132	#129% 38/132	23% 31/132	18% 18/101	47% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.