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Final
2022-09-0307:10Citi Field
3-7
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 10%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 60% · Season 50% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-4pp
7–9 Late
47%
-4pp
F5 first five
47%
-5pp
F9 full game
48%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
0326496128669414773243102354844589857481637727605284434991610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 492Runs Allowed 706

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games
026527810580631525428436360644754458471654577585385440916610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 617Runs Allowed 488
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#327% 35/13121% 28/13117% 22/13123% 30/13124% 31/131#136% 47/13021% 27/129#230% 39/12922% 24/10850% 6/12
RA#235% 46/13126% 34/131#335% 46/13130% 39/131#135% 46/13033% 43/13029% 37/12919% 25/12923% 22/9675% 9/12
MetsR#136% 47/13220% 27/132#333% 44/13227% 35/13230% 39/132#235% 46/13225% 33/13222% 29/13230% 28/9375% 9/12
RA22% 29/13220% 27/13219% 25/132#127% 35/13216% 21/132#324% 32/132#225% 33/13223% 30/13224% 26/10842% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.