Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-08-2901:35Nationals Park

Reds

Away

2-3

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0
Nationals	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	X	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

24%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 17%

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 43%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Nationals defense

24%R 32% · RA 17%

Nationals offense × Reds defense

38%R 33% · RA 43%

Sample 12Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 62% · Season 51% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

57%

+5pp

F5 first five

51%

-1pp

F9 full game

54%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 534Runs Allowed 642

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 471Runs Allowed 688

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	25% 31/125	22% 27/125	21% 26/125	19% 24/125	#133% 41/125	#327% 34/125	18% 22/125	#230% 37/124	27% 28/104	80% 8/10
Reds	RA	26% 33/125	23% 29/125	#335% 44/125	#138% 48/125	27% 34/125	27% 34/125	29% 36/125	#236% 45/124	29% 26/89	60% 6/10
Nationals	R	#326% 33/127	21% 27/127	17% 22/127	22% 28/127	23% 29/127	#137% 46/126	21% 26/125	#230% 37/125	23% 24/106	45% 5/11
Nationals	RA	#335% 44/127	25% 32/127	#135% 45/127	31% 39/127	#235% 44/126	34% 43/126	29% 36/125	20% 25/125	24% 22/92	73% 8/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.