Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-08-2807:10

Orioles

Away

3-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.9

Orioles scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 33%

Astros scoring tendency

19%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 12%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Astros defense

28%R 35% · RA 20%

Astros offense × Orioles defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

50%

-3pp

F9 full game

52%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 534Runs Allowed 520

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 580Runs Allowed 424

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	21% 26/125	24% 30/125	#230% 38/125	21% 26/125	#131% 39/125	26% 32/125	26% 32/124	27% 33/124	#329% 28/97	60% 12/20
Orioles	RA	#231% 39/125	21% 26/125	#331% 39/125	22% 27/125	30% 38/125	#134% 43/125	24% 30/124	21% 26/124	24% 22/93	35% 7/20
Astros	R	#235% 44/127	26% 33/127	24% 30/127	#332% 41/127	#135% 45/127	26% 33/127	23% 29/127	25% 32/127	19% 17/91	88% 7/8
Astros	RA	23% 29/127	20% 25/127	#125% 32/127	19% 24/127	17% 22/127	23% 29/127	#224% 30/127	22% 28/127	#323% 24/104	75% 6/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.