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Final
2022-08-2602:20Wrigley Field
8-3
Cubs
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Cardinals3002010208161
Cubs011000010380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
44%
-8pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0265278105846116359264583724246151574526596575755851339161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 601Runs Allowed 486

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
0265278105785716952241843646646372540606547075358830419232810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 515Runs Allowed 588
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#135% 43/12425% 31/12424% 30/124#327% 34/12427% 34/124#234% 42/12427% 34/12427% 34/12426% 23/8982% 9/11
RA#228% 35/12424% 30/12423% 28/12422% 27/12423% 29/124#326% 32/124#130% 37/12423% 29/12418% 17/9455% 6/11
CubsR#134% 42/12427% 34/12420% 25/124#229% 36/124#329% 36/12419% 23/12325% 31/12324% 30/12318% 17/9748% 13/27
RA25% 31/12423% 28/124#230% 37/12427% 34/124#132% 40/124#330% 37/12428% 35/12326% 32/12324% 23/9663% 17/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.