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Final
2022-08-2508:05Wrigley Field
1-7
Cubs
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Cardinals000010000191
Cubs03000022X790

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-5pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
43%
-9pp
F9 full game
50%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0265278105846116356264583724246051574526596375753851339161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 600Runs Allowed 479

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0265278105785716652241843646646371540606527075158830419232810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 508Runs Allowed 587
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#135% 43/12325% 31/12324% 30/123#328% 34/12327% 33/123#234% 42/12328% 34/12328% 34/12326% 23/8882% 9/11
RA#228% 35/12324% 29/12323% 28/12322% 27/12324% 29/123#326% 32/123#129% 36/12323% 28/12318% 17/9455% 6/11
CubsR#134% 42/12327% 33/12320% 25/123#229% 36/123#329% 36/12319% 23/12225% 30/12224% 29/12218% 17/9748% 13/27
RA25% 31/12323% 28/123#230% 37/12328% 34/123#132% 39/123#330% 37/12329% 35/12226% 32/12224% 23/9563% 17/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.