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Final
2022-08-2402:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
48%R 55% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 78% · Season 56% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-8pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
44%
-8pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
0265278105846116356264563674245951573516596375751845339161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 587Runs Allowed 474

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
0265278105785716652239843646146370539596527074958830359232810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 503Runs Allowed 574
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#136% 43/12126% 31/12125% 30/12127% 33/12126% 32/121#234% 41/121#328% 34/12128% 34/12126% 22/8682% 9/11
RA#229% 35/12124% 29/12122% 27/12122% 27/12124% 29/121#326% 31/121#130% 36/12122% 27/12118% 17/9355% 6/11
CubsR#135% 42/12127% 33/12120% 24/121#230% 36/121#330% 36/12118% 22/12025% 30/12023% 28/12018% 17/9648% 13/27
RA26% 31/12123% 28/121#231% 37/12127% 33/121#131% 38/121#330% 36/12129% 35/12027% 32/12024% 22/9363% 17/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.