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Final
2022-08-2308:05Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-5pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
46%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
0265278105846116356264563674245951573516586375751845339161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 586Runs Allowed 474

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
0265278105785716652239843646146370539596526974958830359232810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 503Runs Allowed 573
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#136% 43/12026% 31/12025% 30/12028% 33/12027% 32/120#234% 41/12028% 33/120#328% 34/12026% 22/8582% 9/11
RA#229% 35/12024% 29/12022% 27/12022% 27/12024% 29/120#326% 31/120#130% 36/12022% 27/12018% 17/9255% 6/11
CubsR#135% 42/12028% 33/12020% 24/120#230% 36/120#330% 36/12018% 22/11925% 30/11924% 28/11918% 17/9548% 13/27
RA26% 31/12023% 28/120#231% 37/12028% 33/120#132% 38/120#330% 36/12029% 34/11927% 32/11924% 22/9263% 17/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.