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Final
2022-08-2108:40Petco Park
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Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 47%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 36%
Padres scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 14%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
36%R 42% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
39%R 30% · RA 47%
Sample 19Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
51%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
029598911962891437124295350824538957275635677565184133951410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 459Runs Allowed 666

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
028578511456471403825553361534916456663657557525284361920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 541Runs Allowed 493
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#326% 32/12121% 25/12117% 21/12122% 27/12124% 29/121#138% 45/12021% 25/119#229% 35/11922% 22/10045% 5/11
RA#335% 42/12126% 32/121#136% 44/12131% 38/121#235% 42/12034% 41/12029% 34/11920% 24/11924% 21/8973% 8/11
PadresR25% 30/12220% 25/122#227% 33/12224% 29/122#134% 42/122#327% 33/12225% 31/12225% 30/12222% 22/9873% 11/15
RA24% 29/12220% 24/12225% 30/12226% 32/122#130% 37/122#328% 34/12225% 31/12223% 28/122#230% 30/9940% 6/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.