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Final
2022-08-1909:40Petco Park
3-1
Padres
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Nationals001000002360
Padres000100000130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 53%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
39%R 47% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
41%R 30% · RA 53%
Sample 19Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 80% · Season 64% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
50%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games
029598911962891437024195348814528757275635677565183633951410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 450Runs Allowed 662

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
028568411256471393825552360514896356663657557525284356920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 537Runs Allowed 484
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#327% 32/11921% 25/11917% 20/11922% 26/11924% 28/119#138% 45/11821% 25/117#230% 35/11720% 20/9845% 5/11
RA#235% 42/11926% 31/119#137% 44/11931% 37/119#335% 41/11835% 41/11829% 34/11721% 24/11724% 21/8773% 8/11
PadresR25% 30/12020% 24/120#228% 33/12023% 28/120#134% 41/120#328% 33/12026% 31/12025% 30/12023% 22/9673% 11/15
RA24% 29/12020% 24/12024% 29/12026% 31/120#130% 36/120#328% 34/12026% 31/12023% 28/120#229% 28/9740% 6/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.