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Final
2022-08-1102:20Wrigley Field
2-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals001001000291
Cubs00000040X490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 53%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 32%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 60% · Season 56% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
46%
-7pp
F9 full game
48%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
028578611562871426824092348764477756573633617534983331941110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 427Runs Allowed 625

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games
0255075100695316247239803556045562535546436474750828339172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 450Runs Allowed 528
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#329% 32/11221% 24/11217% 19/11223% 26/11223% 26/112#136% 40/11121% 23/110#230% 33/11020% 19/9344% 4/9
RA#237% 41/11226% 29/112#138% 42/11230% 34/11234% 38/111#335% 39/11128% 31/11021% 23/11025% 20/8167% 6/9
CubsR#135% 38/10928% 30/10922% 24/109#228% 31/109#328% 31/10918% 19/10824% 26/10825% 27/10817% 15/8639% 9/23
RA26% 28/10924% 26/109#132% 35/109#329% 32/109#232% 35/10929% 32/10929% 31/10825% 27/10825% 21/8361% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.