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Final
2022-08-1008:05Wrigley Field
6-5
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals010300020690
Cubs0100004005150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 53%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 32%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
29%R 42% · RA 15%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
34%R 15% · RA 53%
Sample 19Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
54%
+1pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
46%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
028578611562871416724092345764477756573633577514983331941110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 421Runs Allowed 620

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games
0255075100695316146239803555745562535546396474748828339172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 445Runs Allowed 522
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#329% 32/11121% 23/11117% 19/11123% 25/11123% 26/111#136% 40/11021% 23/109#229% 32/10921% 19/9244% 4/9
RA#237% 41/11125% 28/111#138% 42/11131% 34/11135% 38/110#335% 39/11028% 30/10921% 23/10925% 20/8067% 6/9
CubsR#135% 38/10827% 29/10822% 24/108#229% 31/108#329% 31/10818% 19/10723% 25/10725% 27/10718% 15/8539% 9/23
RA26% 28/10823% 25/108#132% 35/10829% 31/108#232% 35/108#330% 32/10829% 31/10724% 26/10726% 21/8261% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.