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Final
2022-08-0908:05Wrigley Field
3-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 53%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 57% · Season 56% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-0pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
49%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
028568411262871416724089345764477756472633557494983331941110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 418Runs Allowed 614

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
0255075100695316146236803555745562534536376474746828339172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 519
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#229% 32/11021% 23/11017% 19/11023% 25/11024% 26/110#136% 39/10921% 23/108#329% 31/10821% 19/9144% 4/9
RA#137% 41/11025% 28/110#237% 41/11031% 34/110#335% 38/10935% 38/10927% 29/10821% 23/10825% 20/8067% 6/9
CubsR#136% 38/10727% 29/10721% 23/107#229% 31/107#329% 31/10717% 18/10623% 24/10625% 27/10618% 15/8539% 9/23
RA26% 28/10723% 25/107#133% 35/10729% 31/107#233% 35/10729% 31/107#329% 31/10624% 25/10626% 21/8161% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.