Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-08-0907:10Citi Field

Reds

Away

1-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	0
Mets	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	X	5	7	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 0%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Mets defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Mets offense × Reds defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

53%

-0pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 461Runs Allowed 552

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 523Runs Allowed 412

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	25% 27/107	21% 23/107	21% 22/107	18% 19/107	#133% 35/107	#329% 31/107	18% 19/107	#230% 32/106	26% 23/87	80% 8/10
Reds	RA	27% 29/107	22% 24/107	#333% 35/107	#139% 42/107	26% 28/107	26% 28/107	28% 30/107	#239% 41/106	29% 22/77	60% 6/10
Mets	R	#234% 37/109	20% 22/109	#332% 35/109	28% 31/109	29% 32/109	#135% 38/109	24% 26/109	25% 27/109	30% 24/79	82% 9/11
Mets	RA	23% 25/109	23% 25/109	17% 19/109	#127% 29/109	17% 19/109	#325% 27/109	23% 25/109	24% 26/109	#225% 23/91	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.